Canada to the US travel bookings collapse

OAG reported that travel to the US from Canada is down 70% year over year, comparing flight bookings from March 2024 to March 2025

Despite adjustments in airline schedules and capacity shifts, the most concerning development is a dramatic drop in future flight bookings between Canada and the U.S. According to GDS data, bookings for the upcoming summer are down over 70% compared to the same period last year, likely due to uncertainty stemming from ongoing trade disputes.

Key takeaways

• Forward bookings between Canada and the U.S. have also plummeted by over 70% for every month through September;
• The drop reflects travelers' hesitation amid broader economic and political uncertainty;
• This decline poses a serious challenge for airlines relying on this major market;
• Some carriers may offer deep discounts to stimulate demand;
• The long-term impact could extend to key travel segments like Canadian "snowbirds" if conditions don’t improve soon.

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